Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000223 0.000250 0.000278 0.000310 0.000346 0.000385 0.000431
2025-02-09 0.000187 0.000223 0.000264 0.000315 0.000374 0.000443 0.000529
2025-02-16 0.000161 0.000203 0.000253 0.000318 0.000399 0.000498 0.000629
2025-02-23 0.000139 0.000184 0.000240 0.000317 0.000418 0.000547 0.000725
2025-03-02 0.000120 0.000166 0.000226 0.000311 0.000429 0.000585 0.000811
2025-03-09 0.000106 0.000153 0.000216 0.000309 0.000444 0.000629 0.000908
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000142 0.000209 0.000310 0.000460 0.000677 0.001013
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000134 0.000202 0.000311 0.000478 0.000726 0.001126
2025-03-30 0.000079 0.000125 0.000195 0.000309 0.000490 0.000768 0.001229
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000119 0.000190 0.000311 0.000508 0.000819 0.001351
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000112 0.000186 0.000311 0.000523 0.000867 0.001472
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000105 0.000178 0.000307 0.000530 0.000902 0.001573
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000104 0.000181 0.000321 0.000570 0.000996 0.001788
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000100 0.000179 0.000326 0.000594 0.001067 0.001970
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000096 0.000176 0.000329 0.000617 0.001136 0.002156
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000091 0.000171 0.000328 0.000631 0.001193 0.002323
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000085 0.000164 0.000323 0.000635 0.001229 0.002456
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000081 0.000159 0.000321 0.000647 0.001282 0.002624
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000078 0.000156 0.000321 0.000662 0.001343 0.002816
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000075 0.000153 0.000322 0.000680 0.001410 0.003026
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000071 0.000149 0.000320 0.000691 0.001463 0.003210
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000069 0.000147 0.000322 0.000710 0.001534 0.003442
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000066 0.000144 0.000323 0.000726 0.001602 0.003671